Saturday, June 9, 2012

The Number 1 Common Mistake You Probably Make Every Time You Go to the Dog Track


Greyhound Dog Racing Tips.

There are many factors in picking dogs who run in the money. While we all have our favorites, a few are just about universal to all of us. One of these is class. Any good handicapper can tell you that the class of a dog is the strongest indicator of whether it will be a contender in its present race. How we each define class and find it in dogs is another thing, but we won't get into it here.

Besides class, many handicappers look at the win, quiniela and trifecta percentages of the dogs. It's usually on the right hand side of the page and tells you how many wins, places, thirds and fourths they've had and also lists the number of races they've had during the current season or year.

By dividing the dog's wins by the number of races it's had, you can find its winning percentage. The same is true for place and show. But it's after the bettor has done this that things can go wrong. Percentages are wonderful things, but they can cloud the real issue when it comes to winning, placing and showing.

For instance, let's say we're looking at the quiniela percentage for Sparky, who's running in the first race. Sparky has run 30 races, won 5 and placed in 5. His quiniela percentage is.33 or about 30 percent. So as we go over the other dogs, comparing percentages, we keep that 30 percent in our mind. This can lead to trouble if you bet win bets.

Would you bet on Sparky to win over another dog, we'll call him Chalky, who has a quiniela percentage of 20%? Without thinking about it, you might say, "Sure" but we need to think again. Whether Sparky is a good bet to win doesn't depend on whether he has a better quiniela average, it depends on whether he has a better win average than Chalky.

It seems obvious, but when you're handicapping, it's easy to lose track of percentages. The bottom line is that you have to compare win percentage to win percentage, not to the dogs' other percentages like quiniela or trifecta percentages. A dog might have a quiniela percentage of 100%, but if those were all places and not wins, it's not a good win bet.

There are a lot of dogs who place a lot and seem to hardly ever win and others who hardly ever come in second but often win. This is a very important factor to look for when you're handicapping greyhound races. This is probably the #1 thing that most handicappers miss, which makes it the most common mistake.

Greyhound Dog Racing.