Monday, June 18, 2012

Win at the Dog Track by Adding a Factor That Others Miss


Greyhound Dog Racing Tips.

Post position, running style, speed, win and quiniela percentages - we all know the drill. These are the things that most people look at when they're handicapping a dog race. They're all important, but they're not the whole story. If you only look at these factors, you're missing a big piece of the picture.

A very important factor - maybe the most important one - is how dogs interact with each other during a race. People who have just started handicapping greyhound races find it very hard to visualize how the race will play out. This is why they cash fewer tickets than seasoned veterans who have seen hundreds or even thousands of races.

Successful bettors know that you can't take each individual dog's running style or post position statistics into account, without comparing them to the other dogs in the race. You have to look at how Dog A's tendency to break and veer sharply to the inside is going to impact Dog B's habit of breaking and veering sharply to the outside.

If A is in the 1 box and B is in the 6 box, this isn't a big factor. But if A is in the 2 box and B is in the 1 box, it could mean trouble for both dogs. A similar situation is when two dogs with similar running style are right beside each other. In some races, they can run all around the track together and be the quiniela. In other races, one can decide that it doesn't want the other one there, turn its head and knock the other one out of the race.

Knowing how dogs are going to run is only the first step to handicapping the race they're running in together. You have to look at timing and when each dog is likely to be where on the track. Is there a dog that runs wide on turns? If so, where will the other dogs be when it does?

Is there a dog that has to see the lure to win? Well then, will it be able to get out and stay in front so that it can see the rabbit throughout the race? Or will another dog outbreak it and cut off its view? These are some of the considerations that pop up when you try to figure out how a race is going to run.

Of course, it's impossible to completely map out a race and then have it run that way, but you can come close. If you've watched enough races and know many of the dogs' running styles, you can come close. Next time you handicap a race, try to see it in your mind's eye and figure out where each dog is going to be at several points in the race.

If you can do this successfully, you'll be way ahead of 99% of the people who bet on dog races.

Greyhound Dog Racing.