Sunday, April 22, 2012

Greyhound Handicapping - Dont Underestimate Or Overestimate This Factor


Greyhound Dog Racing Tips.

Has this ever happened to you? You bet a dog to win and also bet it with other dogs in a key, wheel or box bet. The dogs come in and you win. You stand there, wondering how much the trifecta will pay, looking at the odds on the three dogs.

One is at low odds, but the other two are at pretty good odds. You think you might have to go to the IRS window. But then the payoffs come up and you're looking at a measly $200 tri. What happened?

Well, what happened is that a lot of other people liked those dogs for the trifecta too. They may not have bet them to win, but they thought they might get in there for second or third. That's the thing about odds. You have to have some idea of what a dog will pay before you bet on it.

Of course, this means you have to be able to figure out what the odds WILL BE on a dog, not what people will bet on it. You can never tell what people will bet. It's way too easy to underestimate how much they'll like a dog or overestimate it. Until the bell rings and the betting is closed, there's just no way to tell for sure what a trifecta will pay, even if you can see the quiniela payoffs.

Why one doesn't have much correlation with the other is because people tend to make one type of bet or the other. In other words, the same people aren't betting quinielas and trifectas a lot of the time. You know, yourself, that a lot of people only bet one type of bet. Maybe you do?

So, a lot of people who bet quinielas may like the 6 dog to win with the 3 dogs, but that doesn't mean that the trifecta players will like the same combination. And even if they do, what about the 3rd dog in the trifecta? The quiniela players may or may not like that dog in 3-dog quiniela boxes or they may like another dog entirely.

And then, of course, there are the people who only play dogs to win. And there are more of them than you might think, especially the horse players. They might put a twenty on a dog to win, which could skew the odds, especially at a small track.

So, as usual, the odds you have to pay the most attention to are the odds that YOU come up with based on your handicapping skill or system that you use. Try not to get too distracted by the other bettors and don't assume that the win or quiniela odds will determine the trifecta odds.

Greyhound Dog Racing.