Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Do You Make This Mistake When You Handicap Dog Races


Greyhound Dog Racing Tips.

Even the best greyhound handicapping systems demand that you do some work to "make them work." You still have to go over your program, compare the merits of the dogs in each race and figure out which ones are contenders and which ones aren't likely to be in at the finish. During this process, many a person makes a mistake that dooms them to lose.

Here's a good example of how even a good handicapper can get sucked into choosing a dog for all the wrong reasons. Let's say that Sparky, the 1 dog in the first race at Wheeling Downs, has a morning line of 9-5. That catches your eye, so you look at Sparky's last six races and you're almost immediately certain that Sparky is the dog to bet.

He won his last race by 10 lengths and he breaks and runs inside, which is where he is. You make a mental note to bet on Sparky to win and also in the daily double and you turn to the next race. But, wait, what is wrong with this picture? What about the other 7 dogs in the race?

It might sound unlikely, but I've known people to completely ignore the rest of the dogs, because they were so dazzled by one dog that had something special going for it. Maybe it just won a stakes race. Or perhaps it beat a really good dog or has a very fast time. These are all good points to consider when you handicap, but they're not ALL you should look at before you decide what to bet on.

No matter how good one dog looks, you have to look at all the dogs in a race. It's the interaction of the 8 runners that determines which one will cross the finish line first, not one factor in one dog's lines. Even when a dog has won every single one of its last 6 races, you have to handicap the other runners. I can't emphasize this fact enough.

So, if you're losing more than you're winning at the dog track, maybe it's because you're focusing too narrowly and missing the big picture. Don't be so dazzled by one factor that you neglect to check out ALL the factors for every single dog. While there are a very few dogs who remain undefeated for most of their career, even the best can be beaten if the circumstances - and the other contenders - are right. Remember, there's no such thing as a 1-dog race.

Greyhound Dog Racing.